Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 204.165546 236.637322 273.749974 319.552754 374.898045 440.038493 523.137051
2025-09-14 153.246003 191.914671 240.501356 306.901326 396.646088 515.731927 689.139949
2025-09-21 128.390153 169.668198 225.115088 306.714395 426.659316 601.327101 884.338435
2025-09-28 112.306090 154.814463 215.024452 309.127940 457.464464 691.363784 1107.902359
2025-10-05 104.687461 149.955947 217.272790 328.574492 516.138061 835.867134 1462.329170
2025-10-12 98.134488 145.354370 218.646883 346.097307 574.398006 993.033423 1892.538908
2025-10-19 88.831510 135.085785 209.359819 343.867160 597.162623 1090.859095 2239.204175
2025-10-26 83.195395 129.839264 207.304747 353.433267 643.027459 1244.500733 2767.351739
2025-11-02 77.409632 123.574764 202.546978 357.022276 677.601294 1383.520158 3319.957816
2025-11-09 72.633134 118.432967 198.994119 362.121924 716.082758 1541.673094 3997.336579
2025-11-16 67.814436 112.665159 193.533846 362.448024 744.127240 1683.065344 4698.951811
2025-11-23 63.446262 107.238389 188.025628 361.731454 769.564329 1825.486729 5483.561381
2025-11-30 59.802084 103.180796 185.436371 368.635418 819.519377 2064.154793 6817.104626
2025-12-07 54.170564 94.883018 173.660490 353.762850 813.036183 2144.605151 7634.935179
2025-12-14 50.656518 90.266216 168.708105 353.552820 844.913472 2355.219533 9195.032359
2025-12-21 47.810055 86.643500 165.327751 356.417879 886.127100 2615.058698 11263.436588
2025-12-28 46.908741 86.789717 169.912032 379.523056 992.270584 3153.845921 15510.596581
2026-01-04 45.823455 86.428519 173.323417 400.384542 1098.890525 3758.744671 21197.134222
2026-01-11 43.153394 82.475404 168.172163 397.727325 1129.834828 4075.643821 25475.854021
2026-01-18 41.641924 80.844947 168.158894 409.129685 1212.139387 4672.028061 33356.112359
2026-01-25 39.806237 78.331006 165.760515 413.410526 1271.309195 5202.719957 42092.919093
2026-02-01 38.217181 76.214402 164.069735 419.495896 1339.806556 5834.616983 54018.426589
2026-02-08 36.444330 73.525613 160.667654 419.885135 1387.046978 6391.015526 67198.996893